CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-12-22T10:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-12-22T10:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/43565/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the east as seen in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, STEREO A COR2A, and GOES CCOR-1 coronagraphs likely associated a minor filament eruption occurring near the southeast of Active Region 14316 (S10E30) as seen in SDO AIA 171 and 193 as an eruption/lifting along the center filament channel with dimming (193) along the east and west flanks of the eruptive site seen around 2025-12-22T09:15Z with bright post eruptive arcade activity. The SDO AIA 304 imagery also shows a broad area of brightening around the filament channel after the eruption. No arrival signature seen in solar wind at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-12-25T22:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 45.05 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-12-24T01:27Z
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